> Having spent a couple of weeks on Claude Code recently, I arrived to the conclusion that the net value for me from agentic AI is actually negative.
> For me it’s meant a huge increase in productivity, at least 3X.
> How do we reconcile these two comments? I think that's a core question of the industry right now.
Every success story with AI coding involves giving the agent enough context to succeed on a task that it can see a path to success on. And every story where it fails is a situation where it had not enough context to see a path to success on. Think about what happens with a junior software engineer: you give them a task and they either succeed or fail. If they succeed wildly, you give them a more challenging task. If they fail, you give them more guidance, more coaching, and less challenging tasks with more personal intervention from you to break it down into achievable steps.
As models and tooling becomes more advanced, the place where that balance lies shifts. The trick is to ride that sweet spot of task breakdown and guidance and supervision.
Every success story with AI coding involves giving the agent enough context to succeed on a task that it can see a path to success on. And every story where it fails is a situation where it had not enough context to see a path to success on. Think about what happens with a junior software engineer: you give them a task and they either succeed or fail. If they succeed wildly, you give them a more challenging task. If they fail, you give them more guidance, more coaching, and less challenging tasks with more personal intervention from you to break it down into achievable steps.
As models and tooling becomes more advanced, the place where that balance lies shifts. The trick is to ride that sweet spot of task breakdown and guidance and supervision.