Comment

Comment by jsnell

This number does not seem credible. Most likely Altman just made it up.

Back of the envelope:

OpenAI inference costs last year were 4B. Tens of millions would be at least 20M, i.e. 0.5%.

That 4B is not just the electricity cost. It needs to cover the amortized cost of the hardware, the cloud provider's margin, etc.

Let's say a H100 costs $30k, and has a lifetime of 5 years. I make that about $16 / day in depreciation. The H100 run at 100% utilization will use 17kWH of electricity in a day. What does that cost? $2-$3 / day? Let's assume the cloud provider's margin is 0. That still means power consumption is maybe 1/5th of the total inference cost.

So the comparison is 800M vs 20M (2.5%).

Can 2.5% of their tokens be pleasantries? Seems impossible. A "please" is a single token, which will be totally swamped by the output, which will typically be 1000x that.

parent jsnell 1 year ago

Discussion

Live from the official Hacker News API

A modern reader for Hacker News · SvelteKit + Skeleton