Here's how 66% compares to the trivial predictor: "pick the team with the higher win rate and flip a coin if they're equal" gives you 64% for the 2024 season I just tried it on.
I'm not even considering home/away, let alone win margins, recent form, strength of schedule etc. I'm almost amazed this model couldn't make any use of them.
I'm not even considering home/away, let alone win margins, recent form, strength of schedule etc. I'm almost amazed this model couldn't make any use of them.