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Comment by vitorgrs

The weighted average of the new U.S. tariffs will be 29% it seems.

Maybe they know the consequences, but to give you a idea... it was 1.5% before. The new ones will be equivalent to Brazilian tariffs in 1989 before opening the economy (31%, data from World Bank).

Now, Brazilian tariffs, which have one if the most closed economies, by weighted average, is 7%.

China, have 2.2%.

The United States will be an autarchy, similar to how LaTam was in the 70's, when tried this exact idea. The tariffs being as high instantly, will impact the economy, later, the country will probably grow, which is what they expect, but this is not a productive grow. Because your new factories now are not competing with external products, so your productivity go down, this means real income will also go down.

So yeah, some people at best (if is not a robot doing the job) will have a job in a factory, but on what he will be able to spend with his wage won't make it worth even for this person.

parent vitorgrs 1 year ago

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