I mean we don’t know that they’re wrong? Not “all jobs” but many of the white collar jobs we have today?
I work in medical insurance billing and there are hundreds of thousands (minimum) jobs that could be made obsolete on the payer and clinic side by LLMs. The translation between PDF of a payer’s rates and billing rules => standardized 837 or API request to a clearinghouse is…not much. And then on the other side, Claude Code could build you an adjudication engine in a few quarters.
The incentive structures to change healthcare in that way will fight back for a decade, but there are a _lot_ of jobs at stake.
Then you think about sales. LLMs can negotiate contracts themselves. Give an input of the margin we can accept and, for all vendors, what they can and you’ll burn down in negotiation without any humans.
I work in medical insurance billing and there are hundreds of thousands (minimum) jobs that could be made obsolete on the payer and clinic side by LLMs. The translation between PDF of a payer’s rates and billing rules => standardized 837 or API request to a clearinghouse is…not much. And then on the other side, Claude Code could build you an adjudication engine in a few quarters.
The incentive structures to change healthcare in that way will fight back for a decade, but there are a _lot_ of jobs at stake.
Then you think about sales. LLMs can negotiate contracts themselves. Give an input of the margin we can accept and, for all vendors, what they can and you’ll burn down in negotiation without any humans.
It’s not all jobs, but it’s millions.