(while I work at OAI, the opinion below is strictly my own)
I feel like the current version is fairly hazardous to students and might leave them worse off.
If I offer help to nontechnical friends, I focus on:
- look at rate of change, not current point
- reliability substantially lags possibility, by maybe two years.
- adversarial settings remain largely unsolved if you get enough shots, trends there are unclear
- ignore the parrot people, they have an appalling track record prediction-wise
- autocorrect argument is typically (massively) overstated because RL exists
- doomers are probably wrong but those who belittle their claims typically understand less than the doomers do
I feel like the current version is fairly hazardous to students and might leave them worse off.
If I offer help to nontechnical friends, I focus on:
- look at rate of change, not current point
- reliability substantially lags possibility, by maybe two years.
- adversarial settings remain largely unsolved if you get enough shots, trends there are unclear
- ignore the parrot people, they have an appalling track record prediction-wise
- autocorrect argument is typically (massively) overstated because RL exists
- doomers are probably wrong but those who belittle their claims typically understand less than the doomers do