We don't know enough about minds to ask the right questions — there are 40 definitions of the word "consciousness".
So while we're definitely looking at a mimic, an actor pretending, a Clever Hans that reacts to subtle clues we didn't realise we were giving off that isn't as smart as it seems, we also have no idea if LLMs are mere Cargo Cult golems pretending to be people, nor what to even look for to find out.
We don't know enough about minds to ask the right questions — there are 40 definitions of the word "consciousness".
So while we're definitely looking at a mimic, an actor pretending, a Clever Hans that reacts to subtle clues we didn't realise we were giving off that isn't as smart as it seems, we also have no idea if LLMs are mere Cargo Cult golems pretending to be people, nor what to even look for to find out.