Discussion Ask HN: What are the algorithms used by predictions markets like Polymarket? I am curious how prediction markets like polymarket and kalshi work behind the scenes. I assume it's more like stock options than sports betting.Is there something like a market maker to help provide liquidity?Is it setting probabilities/prices using something like black-scholes?How would you design a very simple prediction market MVP? 7 points callmeed 2 years ago 10 comments
Is there something like a market maker to help provide liquidity?
Is it setting probabilities/prices using something like black-scholes?
How would you design a very simple prediction market MVP?