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Comment by AtlasBarfed

We have immigration (illegal or otherwise) to stave off demographic cliffs. As much as the right hates illegal immigration, it is mostly Christians and they integrate well.

The EU either has to integrate muslims, which is a rougher ride, or Russians/Ukrainians, of which there is a more limited number to import.

The country with the worst demographics, South Korea, still IMO has an out: it can topple North Korea and import a huge number of people from there.

China is in deep, deep trouble. They have restated demographics downward, and probably it is still worse than that. Combined with increasing levels of totalitarianism, allegedly a huge financial house of cards in real estate and regional governments, and a likely invasion of Taiwan that results in blockade and sanctions...

Russia was having huge problems before the war. Now they are throwing away a badly needed generation, and causing 2-5x that amount to flee the country.

Democracies have the potential to pivot from demographic disaster, but totalitarian regimes don't care about them, because demographic cliffs mean there is just an older more compliant population to suppress. Of course it means long term their country will fade to irrelevance and perhaps starvation/economic collapse, but totalitarian regimes exist primarily to ensure the survival of the regime, not the population.

parent AtlasBarfed 2 years ago

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