I am not among those smartest, so take my opinion with a mountain of salt. But I'm just not convinced that this is going in the direction of AGI.
The recent advances are truly jaw dropping. It absolutely merits being investigated to the hilt. There is a very good chance that it will end up being a net profit.
But intuitively they don't feel to me like they're getting more human. If anything I feel like the recent round of "get it to reason aloud" is the opposite of what makes "general intelligence" a thing. The vast majority of human behavior isn't reasoned, aloud or otherwise.
It'll be super cool if I'm wrong and we're just one algorithm or extra data set or scale factor of CPUs away from It, whatever It turns out to be. My intuition here isn't worth much. But I wouldn't be surprised if it was right despite that.
The recent advances are truly jaw dropping. It absolutely merits being investigated to the hilt. There is a very good chance that it will end up being a net profit.
But intuitively they don't feel to me like they're getting more human. If anything I feel like the recent round of "get it to reason aloud" is the opposite of what makes "general intelligence" a thing. The vast majority of human behavior isn't reasoned, aloud or otherwise.
It'll be super cool if I'm wrong and we're just one algorithm or extra data set or scale factor of CPUs away from It, whatever It turns out to be. My intuition here isn't worth much. But I wouldn't be surprised if it was right despite that.