It’s probably generally irrelevant what they can do today, or what you’ve seen so far.
This is conceptually essentially Moore’s law, but about every 5.5 months. That’s the only thing that matters at this stage.
I watched everyone make the same arguments about the general Internet, and then the Web, then mobile, then Bitcoin. It’s just a toy. It’s not that useful. Is this supposed to be the revolution? It uses too much power. It won’t scale. The technology is a dead end.
The general pattern of improvement to technology has been radically to the upside at an increasing pace parabolically for decades and there’s nothing indicating that this is a break in the pattern. In fact it’s setting up to be an order of magnitude greater impact than the Internet was. At a minimum, I don’t expect it to be smaller.
Looking at early telegraphs doesn’t predict the iPhone, etc.
Optimism is warranted here until it isn’t.
This is conceptually essentially Moore’s law, but about every 5.5 months. That’s the only thing that matters at this stage.
I watched everyone make the same arguments about the general Internet, and then the Web, then mobile, then Bitcoin. It’s just a toy. It’s not that useful. Is this supposed to be the revolution? It uses too much power. It won’t scale. The technology is a dead end.
The general pattern of improvement to technology has been radically to the upside at an increasing pace parabolically for decades and there’s nothing indicating that this is a break in the pattern. In fact it’s setting up to be an order of magnitude greater impact than the Internet was. At a minimum, I don’t expect it to be smaller.
Looking at early telegraphs doesn’t predict the iPhone, etc.
Optimism is warranted here until it isn’t.