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Comment by klysm

The no iteration thing is very real and I don’t think it’s even for particularly bad reasons. We iterate on models to make them better, by some definition of better. It’s no secret that scientific work is subject to rather perverse incentives around thresholds of significance and positive results. Publish or perish. Perverse incentives lead to perverse statistics.

The iteration itself is sometimes viewed directly as a problem. The “garden of forking paths”, where the analysis depends on the data, is viewed as a direct cause for some of the statistical and epistemological crises in science today.

Iteration itself isn’t inherently bad. It’s just that the objective function usually isn’t what we want from a scientific perspective.

To those actually doing scientific work, I suspect iterating on their models feels like they’re doing something unfaithful.

Furthermore, I believe a lot of these issues are strongly related to the flawed epistemological framework which many scientific fields seem to have converged: p<0.05 means it’s true, otherwise it’s false.

edit:

Perhaps another way to characterize this discomfort is by the number of degrees of freedom that the analyst controls. In a Bayesian context where we are picking priors either by belief or previous data, the analyst has a _lot_ of control over how the results come out the other end.

I think this is why fields have trended towards a set of ‘standard’ tests instead of building good statistical models. These take most of the knobs out of the hands of the analyst, and generally are more conservative.

parent klysm 2 years ago

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