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Comment by unkulunkulu

> Unfortunately, most scientific fields have succumbed to AI hype, leading to a suspension of common sense. For example, a line of research in political science claimed to predict the onset of civil war with an accuracy2 of well over 90%, a number that should sound facially impossible. (It turned out to be leakage, which is what got us interested in this whole line of research.)

This coupled with people acting on its predictions is a kind of self fulfilling prophecy.

which is to ask, are AI safety folks building models of this pattern? :)

parent unkulunkulu 2 years ago

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