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Comment by aaronjg

There are appropriate solutions to the multi-armed bandit problem, and a wealth of literature out there, however this is not one of those solutions.

Here's a simple thought experiment to show that this will not 'beat A/B testing every time.' Imagine you have two designs, one has a 100% conversion rate, one has a 0% conversion rate. Simple A/B testing will allow you to pick the the winning example. Whereas this solution is still picking the 0% design 10% of the time.

For some other implementations check out the following links:

For Dynamic Resampling:

http://jmlr.csail.mit.edu/papers/volume3/auer02a/auer02a.pdf

http://www.mynaweb.com

For Optimal Termination Time:

http://blog.custora.com/2012/05/a-bayesian-approach-to-ab-te...

parent aaronjg 14 years ago

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