Comment Comment by mhaberl >> I'm not sure how likely it is that any of them will see humans walk the Moon again.> There’s a good chance some or all 7 will see people walk on the moonChance that a 88 year old male will live 6 more years is about 27% according to the tables [1]So, a chance that at least one of those 7 lives 6 more years is about 89% (a bit less because some are older than 88), but that is the ballpark figureI would call that more than a good chance :)[1] https://www.ssa.gov/oact/STATS/table4c6.html parent mhaberl 2 years ago
> There’s a good chance some or all 7 will see people walk on the moon
Chance that a 88 year old male will live 6 more years is about 27% according to the tables [1]
So, a chance that at least one of those 7 lives 6 more years is about 89% (a bit less because some are older than 88), but that is the ballpark figure
I would call that more than a good chance :)
[1] https://www.ssa.gov/oact/STATS/table4c6.html