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Comment by fjkdlsjflkds

Well... what do you mean by "a stable process" in this context?

Let's try repeating the same example, but now drawing samples from a fixed distribution (in this case, a log-normal distribution):

> data <- exp(rnorm(100))

> sum(as.numeric(data > mean(data)))/length(data)

[1] 0.32

So, again, quite far from a 50/50 split, even though I am assuming a stable/fixed data generation process.

In general, it would help if statistical subjects are not presented in a careless way (i.e., containing things which are obviously not true). I would suggest at least adding an "assuming a symmetrical distribution" (so that at least your claim is approximately correct under the arithmetic average and for bounded variance distributions).

EDIT: If by "a stable process" you mean "a process following a stable distribution"... then, no, it doesn't help.

Here's an example with samples drawn from a Lévy distribution (which is a stable distribution):

> data <- rmutil::rlevy(100)

> sum(as.numeric(data > mean(data)))/length(data)

[1] 0.07

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