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Comment by Animats

The biggest worry is GPS. Way too much stuff is dependent on GPS. Including stationary stuff that ought not to be.

Meanwhile, here's the PJM plan for geomagnetic disturbances.[1] Start at page 37. It's a very real problem, but the people in the control rooms know what to do. The basic effect is that certain specific transformers overheat. This is now monitored.

Most recent event:

    104095   Warning  Geomagnetic Disturbance Warning 12.01.2023 06:55  PJM-RTO
    A Geomagnetic Disturbance Warning has been issued 
        for 06:55 on 12.01.2023 through 16:00 on 12.01.2023. 
    A GMD warning of K7 or greater is in effect for this period.
    Additional Comments: End time extended to 1600 EST
This never got to the point that action had to be taken.

Looking at documents from NERC and the various ISOs, I get the impression that PJM is serious about this, but there's a lot of hand-waving from everybody else.

It only affects very long wires with a voltage to ground. Most long-haul is fiber now, which is totally indifferent to this effect. Balanced or twisted pair, no problem. Electric railways, maybe.

[1] https://www.pjm.com/-/media/training/nerc-certifications/tra...

parent Animats 2 years ago

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