This is why I am concerned that really good AI tools (be it LLMs, or not), are only going to make people dumber over time. It is true that those people that are highly motivated will be digitally enhanced by LLMs, but the hard reality is that this does not encompass most people. Most people will do the least amount of work possible to solve a task. Rather than taking the time to understand and critically reason about the output of an LLM, these people will instead take it and run, only asking questions later [if at all].
And as we zoom out and think more farther into the future, I see it getting much worse. If AI is really doing all the "hard stuff", then the general human incentive to learn and do them at all quickly treads to 0. This isn't going to be everyone, I think some people will absolutely become "10x developers" or the equivalent for other domains. But all this will result in is more inequity, in my naïve view. The universe has a fundamental property that things move from higher energy states into lower ones. From a human POV, I think you could apply a similar idea, if the need to be smart quickly recedes, then in general we may degrade unaugmented human collective intelligence over time.
I don't know, maybe we'll figure something out to make it much easier to learn and ingest new concepts, but it seems more and more to me that the high obstacles for human brains learning things (with poor memory) is too big a bottleneck to overcome any time soon.
And as we zoom out and think more farther into the future, I see it getting much worse. If AI is really doing all the "hard stuff", then the general human incentive to learn and do them at all quickly treads to 0. This isn't going to be everyone, I think some people will absolutely become "10x developers" or the equivalent for other domains. But all this will result in is more inequity, in my naïve view. The universe has a fundamental property that things move from higher energy states into lower ones. From a human POV, I think you could apply a similar idea, if the need to be smart quickly recedes, then in general we may degrade unaugmented human collective intelligence over time.
I don't know, maybe we'll figure something out to make it much easier to learn and ingest new concepts, but it seems more and more to me that the high obstacles for human brains learning things (with poor memory) is too big a bottleneck to overcome any time soon.