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Comment by minimaxir

> derive reliable uncertainty estimates

That is very, very hard to do in an objective manner, as the current LLM benchmark gaming demonstrates.

Sure, you can deploy a smaller model to production to get real-world user data and feedback, but a) deploying a suboptimal model can give a bad first impression and b) the quality is still subjective and requires other metrics to be analyzed. Looking at prediction probabilities only really helps if you have a single correct output token, which isn't what LLM benchmarks test for.

parent minimaxir 2 years ago

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