I think a lot of the confusion on whether LLMs can think stems from the fact that LLMs are purely models of language and solve intelligence as a kind of accidental side-effect.
The real problem that an LLM is trying to solve is to create a model that can enumerate all meaningful sequences of words. This is just an insane way of approaching the problem of intelligence on the face of it. There's a huge difference between a model of language and an intelligent agent that uses language to communicate.
What LLMs show is that the hardest problem - of how to get emergent capabilities at scale from huge quantities of data - is solved. To get more human-like thinking, all that is needed is to find the right pre-training task that more closely aligns with agentic behavior. This is still a huge problem but it's an engineering problem and not one of linguistic theory or philosophy.
The real problem that an LLM is trying to solve is to create a model that can enumerate all meaningful sequences of words. This is just an insane way of approaching the problem of intelligence on the face of it. There's a huge difference between a model of language and an intelligent agent that uses language to communicate.
What LLMs show is that the hardest problem - of how to get emergent capabilities at scale from huge quantities of data - is solved. To get more human-like thinking, all that is needed is to find the right pre-training task that more closely aligns with agentic behavior. This is still a huge problem but it's an engineering problem and not one of linguistic theory or philosophy.