> We're so far away from AGI
Although I personally suspect this is correct, the issue seems to be that there are a lot of people who feel otherwise, whether right or wrong, including some of the people involved in the research and/or running these companies.
I've seen several prominent people say things to the effect of "We just don't know if we're six months or 600 years from AGI,", which to me is a little like saying, "We don't know if we'll have time travel and ray guns in six months or 600 years."
No, we don't know, but all signs seem to be pointing toward a longer timeframe rather than a short one.
The counterargument to that seems to be, "If we can make something that appears to be able to mimic human responses, isn't that AGI in practice even if it's not in principle?", which is a sentiment I have also seen expressed by some of the same people.
Although I personally suspect this is correct, the issue seems to be that there are a lot of people who feel otherwise, whether right or wrong, including some of the people involved in the research and/or running these companies.
I've seen several prominent people say things to the effect of "We just don't know if we're six months or 600 years from AGI,", which to me is a little like saying, "We don't know if we'll have time travel and ray guns in six months or 600 years."
No, we don't know, but all signs seem to be pointing toward a longer timeframe rather than a short one.
The counterargument to that seems to be, "If we can make something that appears to be able to mimic human responses, isn't that AGI in practice even if it's not in principle?", which is a sentiment I have also seen expressed by some of the same people.