Comment by jeo123

Evn if they fall to 800mil people, that is still more than 2x more than USA. The level of education in China far exceed USA. Scientific output also exceed USA right now. Then just niched output in AI already surpassed USA just a week ago. You go to any mart in USA, easily 60% stuff come from China. You look in ANY American colleges, you will find "East Asians" a lot even more so in Ivy Leagues. By 2050, we will all acknowledge China is the new USA even if their population drop by half. Look at Japan, their 100m dwindling to 80m still so dominant. You multiply that by 10x and with added ruthlessness in business competition. Hard not to see China gdp NOT exceeding USA in 5-10yrs time. As for economic free fall, USA is due for a super motherload big one. Since it has bigger economy, the fall would be bigger as well. I put my money on China especially now since things it is way cheaper there. Even Tesla look like dwarf when you compare to BYD in China (and they havnt largely tackle market outside China).