Unlike previous hype cycles, the potential value of this one is extraordinary if it’s actually unlocked (I mean, what was the theoretical upper limit on the benefit of cryptocurrency for the world? Probably not that much.) Previous attempts at AI/AGI have been constrained by computational resources. It’s quite possible that we already have sufficient computational power and the necessary data for AGI—all we need are the right algorithms.
Even if for some bizarre reason we’ve already tapped the maximum potential of transformer architectures and all of this money goes nowhere, compared to all the other ways that society wastes money, I would be fine with calling this a big bet for humanity that didn’t pay off. It doesn’t mean that it wasn’t worth the attempt though.
Even if for some bizarre reason we’ve already tapped the maximum potential of transformer architectures and all of this money goes nowhere, compared to all the other ways that society wastes money, I would be fine with calling this a big bet for humanity that didn’t pay off. It doesn’t mean that it wasn’t worth the attempt though.