Take a game show host who lets you choose a door, randomly reveals what is behind one other door, and then gives you an opportunity to change your choice. This game show host CAN (randomly) reveal the prize; he has equal probability of revealing ANY of the unchosen doors.
Say you are playing the Monty Hall game with this host. You choose your door, he opens another door, and it happens (purely by chance) that there is no prize there. Do you still believe that you have a 2/3 chance of winning if you switch to the other unopened door?
Say you are playing the Monty Hall game with this host. You choose your door, he opens another door, and it happens (purely by chance) that there is no prize there. Do you still believe that you have a 2/3 chance of winning if you switch to the other unopened door?