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Comment by 4star3star

The way the problem makes sense to me is this.

Doors: Goat Goat Car

You pick a door. Monty shows you a Goat. You switch or stay.

Monty will never show you the Car before offering a switch. He always shows you a Goat. It doesn't matter which Goat he shows you - it's just "not the Car".

If your first choice is a Goat, switching will win you the Car. If your first choice is a Car, switching will win you a Goat. You have a 2/3 chance of picking a Goat, so, effectively, you want to pick a Goat so that you switch to the Car.

parent 4star3star 3 years ago

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