To be sort of nitpicky: the underlying study [0] does not argue a direct causal connection. This is one of many current observational studies reporting on population level trends and measuring associated incidence ratios/risk ratios/hazard ratios.
That said, dismissing the COVID correlation entirely out of hand also feels wrong here; in part because there are meta analysis in the literature [1] that show risk ratios very comparable to increases here.
To compare from the quote in the article:
> Rates of type 2 diabetes were 62% higher (IRR, 1.62) in 2020 to 2021 than in 2016 to 2019. The incidence of type 2 diabetes rose from 14.8 to 24.7 per 100,000 person-years over that time.
To this in Ssentongo et al:
> Of the 8 studies that characterized the risk of incident diabetes among survivors of COVID-19, the pooled point estimates was 1.66 (95% CI 1.38; 2.00, Fig. 2), implying a 66% higher risk of diabetes.
covid-19 is a complex disease that is correlated to problems with almost every major system in the body (See any of the cites implied by my handle), to suggest it's not a factor at all is very likely incorrect.
[0] Mefford et al, "Incidence of Diabetes Among Youth Before and During the COVID-19 Pandemic" https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamanetworkopen/fullarticle...
[1] Ssentongo et al, "Association of COVID-19 with diabetes: a systematic review and meta-analysis" https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-022-24185-7
That said, dismissing the COVID correlation entirely out of hand also feels wrong here; in part because there are meta analysis in the literature [1] that show risk ratios very comparable to increases here.
To compare from the quote in the article:
> Rates of type 2 diabetes were 62% higher (IRR, 1.62) in 2020 to 2021 than in 2016 to 2019. The incidence of type 2 diabetes rose from 14.8 to 24.7 per 100,000 person-years over that time.
To this in Ssentongo et al:
> Of the 8 studies that characterized the risk of incident diabetes among survivors of COVID-19, the pooled point estimates was 1.66 (95% CI 1.38; 2.00, Fig. 2), implying a 66% higher risk of diabetes.
covid-19 is a complex disease that is correlated to problems with almost every major system in the body (See any of the cites implied by my handle), to suggest it's not a factor at all is very likely incorrect.
[0] Mefford et al, "Incidence of Diabetes Among Youth Before and During the COVID-19 Pandemic" https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamanetworkopen/fullarticle... [1] Ssentongo et al, "Association of COVID-19 with diabetes: a systematic review and meta-analysis" https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-022-24185-7