Comment Comment by alted The probability may actually be much higher: about 12% per decade for a -850mT event; 1.5% for -1700mT [1].Wikipedia estimates the Carrington was anywhere from -800 to -1750 [2].[1] "On the probability of occurrence of extreme space weather events", Pete Riley, 2012, doi:10.1029/2011SW000734[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carrington_Event parent alted 3 years ago
Wikipedia estimates the Carrington was anywhere from -800 to -1750 [2].
[1] "On the probability of occurrence of extreme space weather events", Pete Riley, 2012, doi:10.1029/2011SW000734
[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carrington_Event