Comment

Comment by phunehehe0

Consider the chance of winning at least 100 times. It's 1 over 2^100, and you win at least 2^100. So the small chance and the big reward "balance out", kind of.

But the reward is not limited there. Once you reach each and every "balance point", the next step is 50% chance for doubling the reward. If you currently have X, the value of continuing to play is 1.5X. This is independent of how big X is, or how unlikely you have made it this far (sorta a reverse Gambler's Fallacy). And it's why the expected value is infinite.

parent phunehehe0 3 years ago

No comments yet

Be the first to share your thoughts.

Live from the official Hacker News API

A modern reader for Hacker News · SvelteKit + Skeleton