Once we start talking about multi-agent AI systems I think my intuitions go out the window. If we consider that GPT-4 is about as capable as a reasonably intelligent high school graduate or college freshmen, I wonder how much actual benefit we get from multi-agent setups.
I mean that intuitively I couldn't imagine replacing 1 experienced professional with 1, 2, 10, 100 or even 1000 intelligent high school graduates. Intelligence doesn't seem strictly additive across multiple individuals for all cases. But then I consider that one of the most powerful life-lines in the TV game show "Who wants to be a millionaire" was the "Ask the audience". I am reminded of the cliche of the wisdom of crowds, even when the crowd is made up of non-experts.
This suggests to me that there is a kind of problem where multiple lower power agents can solve the issue to a higher quality. But there are also kinds of problem where a single higher-power intelligence will be necessary. I haven't developed an intuition when each approach is valid.
I mean that intuitively I couldn't imagine replacing 1 experienced professional with 1, 2, 10, 100 or even 1000 intelligent high school graduates. Intelligence doesn't seem strictly additive across multiple individuals for all cases. But then I consider that one of the most powerful life-lines in the TV game show "Who wants to be a millionaire" was the "Ask the audience". I am reminded of the cliche of the wisdom of crowds, even when the crowd is made up of non-experts.
This suggests to me that there is a kind of problem where multiple lower power agents can solve the issue to a higher quality. But there are also kinds of problem where a single higher-power intelligence will be necessary. I haven't developed an intuition when each approach is valid.