> Predictions based on observations rely on detecting early-warning signals, primarily an increase in variance (loss of resilience) and increased autocorrelation (critical slowing down), which have recently been reported for the AMOC. Here we provide statistical significance and data-driven estimators for the time of tipping. We estimate a collapse of the AMOC to occur around mid-century under the current scenario of future emissions.
The abstract also says that the collapse would impact the north Atlantic region, but in what way? Assuming the prediction is accurate, what changes could we expect to see in that scenario? Wikipedia suggests that temperatures in northern Europe would drop significantly + sea levels would rise, but is that all? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Atlantic_meridional_overturnin...
The abstract also says that the collapse would impact the north Atlantic region, but in what way? Assuming the prediction is accurate, what changes could we expect to see in that scenario? Wikipedia suggests that temperatures in northern Europe would drop significantly + sea levels would rise, but is that all? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Atlantic_meridional_overturnin...