We do have a power crunch coming; take a look at the IESO annual planning outlook[1]. Page 78/79 of the 2022 APO show grid emissions dramatically increasing - due to the transition to gas generation. Also take a look at resource adequacy on page 42 - Ontario is coming into a deficit hence the recommendation to procure 4,000MW asap.
Emissions factor is on track to almost triple between now and 2040. Plus, emissions scope doesn't include out of jurisdiction - the planned Lake Erie connector will bring in electricity from Pennsylvania which is significantly higher emissions due to coal. The Ministry of Energy requested the IESO review emissions impacts of this project however results have not been made public (...because it's high emissions).
Emissions factor is on track to almost triple between now and 2040. Plus, emissions scope doesn't include out of jurisdiction - the planned Lake Erie connector will bring in electricity from Pennsylvania which is significantly higher emissions due to coal. The Ministry of Energy requested the IESO review emissions impacts of this project however results have not been made public (...because it's high emissions).
[1] https://www.ieso.ca/en/Sector-Participants/Planning-and-Fore...