These are not comparable numbers. You're comparing "fraction of people" vs "fraction of outcomes". Presumably an eye-roller assigns ~0 probability to "extremely bad" outcomes (or has a shockingly cavalier attitude toward medium-small probabilities of catastrophe).
These are not comparable numbers. You're comparing "fraction of people" vs "fraction of outcomes". Presumably an eye-roller assigns ~0 probability to "extremely bad" outcomes (or has a shockingly cavalier attitude toward medium-small probabilities of catastrophe).