What nonsense. I've spent over a decade 100% focused on AI, and the broad consensus among everyone I've worked with is not to be that concerned at all. The only consensus is that a small group of self proclaimed experts who make a lot of noise is that they get lots of press coverage if they scream and shout making predictions based on zero scientific evidence.
We can understand the physics of greenhouse gases and take measurements of earth systems to build evidence for models and theories. (Many of which are nonetheless very inaccurate beyond short time horizons.) Show me any evidence for AI risk today beyond people's theories and beliefs?
The best predictor of the future is the past, not people's wild ideas about what the future could be. I'm not about to sit here feeling scared because there is more uncertainty that our matrix multiplies are about to go rogue. There are no AGI experts or AI risk experts, because we don't have any of these systems to study and analyze. What we have is people forming beliefs about their own predictions about systems which are unknowable.
We can understand the physics of greenhouse gases and take measurements of earth systems to build evidence for models and theories. (Many of which are nonetheless very inaccurate beyond short time horizons.) Show me any evidence for AI risk today beyond people's theories and beliefs?
The best predictor of the future is the past, not people's wild ideas about what the future could be. I'm not about to sit here feeling scared because there is more uncertainty that our matrix multiplies are about to go rogue. There are no AGI experts or AI risk experts, because we don't have any of these systems to study and analyze. What we have is people forming beliefs about their own predictions about systems which are unknowable.