It's very easy for us to forget about variance and standard deviation of programmer productivity when all other factors are equal. Let's imagine we have 1000 of the world's best programmers working for a year on creative projects. All of them will try something innovative. Only some of them, however, will succeed.
Who succeeds is a function of what projects they were working on. And that, is almost purely random and a result of circumstances. We like to think that Sergey and Larey were more brilliant than anyone else, for example, but the truth is they just stumbled into the right thing at the right time.
Don't discredit yourself as a programmer for not yet having a huge stroke of luck.
Who succeeds is a function of what projects they were working on. And that, is almost purely random and a result of circumstances. We like to think that Sergey and Larey were more brilliant than anyone else, for example, but the truth is they just stumbled into the right thing at the right time.
Don't discredit yourself as a programmer for not yet having a huge stroke of luck.