Comment by hablog

> The proper Bayesian response... since both "being male" and any race are very weak predictors (see my other comment upthread).

I saw your comment - you don't understand how bayesianism works. Look up "odds ratios" for the most salient concept that you're missing here.

If P(x|!y) = 0.0000001 and P(x|y) = 0.01, this relationship is extremely powerful even though it's "weak" in the sense you're using.