Someone who is actually doing it would be a lot more authoritative in my opinion. Hinton has been wrong on most of his big ideas in the past decade. He hasn’t actually been involved in the important advances of anything recent. Inventing backprop is great. No discredit to him there. But that’s not a free pass to be seen as someone who is on the cutting edge.
But beyond all of that, what are we really asking? Are we asking about social ramifications? Because I don’t think the OpenAI devs are particularly noteworthy in their ability to divine those either. It’s more of a business question if anything. Are we talking about where the tech goes next? Because then it’s probably the devs or at least indie folks playing with the models themselves.
None of that means Hinton’s opinions are wrong. Form your own opinions. Don’t delegate your thinking.
But beyond all of that, what are we really asking? Are we asking about social ramifications? Because I don’t think the OpenAI devs are particularly noteworthy in their ability to divine those either. It’s more of a business question if anything. Are we talking about where the tech goes next? Because then it’s probably the devs or at least indie folks playing with the models themselves.
None of that means Hinton’s opinions are wrong. Form your own opinions. Don’t delegate your thinking.