Comment by sterlind

I think it's likely we'll develop superintelligence very soon, but it won't be any more knowledgeable than us, just smarter. And knowledge has been the bottleneck for most of human history - our ancestors weren't dumber. Also, it will be bottlenecked by needing to solve NP-complete problems - unless P=NP, it's not going to be all that much faster at solving hard math problems. Basically, it still needs to do science, and science takes time.