The LLMs are getting better that is for sure. But I think there is an inherent weakness in the way they are made that will prevent it from ever reaching a real AGI: it can't improve by itself.
Correct me if I am wrong, but these models and their weights are static after training. So while they can appear different depending on what you prompt them with, their core system never changes. In other words, they can't adapt. They can try their best, but that is it, they can never improve, evolve, learn from their mistake, internalize new knowledge, etc.
One of the best trait of life is adaptability. That was how we human spread everywhere on this planet and how even in the most extreme of environments, you can still find some bacteria living there. And these LLMs are inherently incapable of that.
Correct me if I am wrong, but these models and their weights are static after training. So while they can appear different depending on what you prompt them with, their core system never changes. In other words, they can't adapt. They can try their best, but that is it, they can never improve, evolve, learn from their mistake, internalize new knowledge, etc.
One of the best trait of life is adaptability. That was how we human spread everywhere on this planet and how even in the most extreme of environments, you can still find some bacteria living there. And these LLMs are inherently incapable of that.