I write this as a sceptic who always leaned towards the symbolic side of this debate. First seeing Open AI inventing tactics in Dota and now using GPT and other recent AI product has changed my mind. The rate of progress in the field is just staggering and seems to be still accelerating.
Overall, I'd say we are running into too many "unkowns". We don't know our own cognition works which makes all arguments along the lines of "LLMs are just .." moot. We don't even really know how GPT (and others) do what they do and so all arguments along the lines of "LLMs won't be able to ... " are similarly moot.
I'm not really taking a position except to say that most arguments I see most people making are moot. So, nobody, and me least of all, has a clue about how all of this might shake out.
Overall, I'd say we are running into too many "unkowns". We don't know our own cognition works which makes all arguments along the lines of "LLMs are just .." moot. We don't even really know how GPT (and others) do what they do and so all arguments along the lines of "LLMs won't be able to ... " are similarly moot.
I'm not really taking a position except to say that most arguments I see most people making are moot. So, nobody, and me least of all, has a clue about how all of this might shake out.