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Comment by jessaustin

Lots of this seems plausible at a glance, but overall it is highly theoretical. USA hasn't "won" a war since 1945. That result was mostly determined by USSR. The USA portion of the result was determined by a quickly-assembled force of farmboys and factory workers led by the same rather than by a professional standing army led by the Pentagon. The Pentagon is incapable of developing weapons and tactics that win wars, because for its entire existence it has been judged by a different metric. We should expect conflicts over which the Pentagon has some influence to be extended and made more resource-intensive than even the marketing can justify. The Pentagon always does that, because that's how armaments manufacturers make more money.

We should avoid wars in general, but we should especially avoid a world war with China, Russia, India, and the rest of their many allies. We got beaten by the Taliban, but if we fight 3 billion people we'll get curb-stomped.

parent jessaustin 3 years ago

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