Companies don’t need to be right, they need to maximise the chance of succeeding. Yes, it was obvious that the raining-money period wasn’t going to last… but what if it had? What if Google had decided to ignore it, and then by some ridiculous twist of fate, it did continue and a competitor did leverage it to beat Google?
Firing a bunch of people and killing some projects is a tiny price to pay for the potential upside. As humans, seeing people get fired is painful and we view the individuals responsible in a negative light — which I agree with! — but for Google the corporate entity, and Microsoft and Shopify etc etc it made complete rational sense even in hindsight.
Firing a bunch of people and killing some projects is a tiny price to pay for the potential upside. As humans, seeing people get fired is painful and we view the individuals responsible in a negative light — which I agree with! — but for Google the corporate entity, and Microsoft and Shopify etc etc it made complete rational sense even in hindsight.