Comment by RyanCavanaugh

Yeah, if I had to rank the scenarios in order of likelihood:

1. Lew made a statistically awful call and got lucky

2. (yawning chasm of implausibility)

3. A rough tie between

3a. Lew made an extremely shrewd read and figured out the exact one hand Adelstein could have that she was ahead of and called on that basis

and

3b. Lew could cheat, and chose to do so in the one spot that gave her very little additional equity and immediately exposed the cheat at the same time