I don't think this was intentional as real attack on Poland as that would take course which will not end up good either for Russia or for rest of the world. I see this as accident, until more information comes. And given similar accidents before, like India-Pakistan missile incident from this year [1] or crash of a drone in Zagreb [2] in March of this year - this will yield nothing.
Edit: Another data point re accident: MH17 [3], Iran Air Flight 655 [4]. Both of those still yielded nothing.
Edit: Another data point re accident: MH17 [3], Iran Air Flight 655 [4]. Both of those still yielded nothing.
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_India%E2%80%93Pakistan_mi...
[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Zagreb_Tu-141_crash
[3] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Malaysia_Airlines_Flight_17
[4] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iran_Air_Flight_655