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Comment by visarga

> How? This is absolutely impossible.

It is possible to use GPT-3 to impersonate someone. You give it a profile and it assumes the personality, then speaks from that point of view replicating its biases with uncanny ability. So what they did was to create a simulated poll using GPT-3 by aligning the model to personality profiles distributed identically to the real population.

The result? GPT-3 can predict how an idea would poll, how a population would react to a situation. So you can simulate various policies without actually having to test in reality. You can do MCMC like AlphaGO and see ten moves ahead.

This looks to be one of the most astounding uses of large language models. It would be of immediate interest to politicians, investors, advertisers, music and movie produces or any influencer.

It gives me heavy 'Matrix' and 'Psychohistory' vibes.

https://jack-clark.net/2022/10/11/import-ai-305-gpt3-can-sim...

https://arxiv.org/abs/2209.06899

parent visarga 4 years ago

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