Comment by ipnon

The adage that we overestimate technology in the short term and we underestimate it in the long term holds. There is no way we all have a personal AGI assistants that drive our cars and work jobs for us this decade. At the end of this century we will all have this technology, barring any one of the possible apocalyptic catastrophes besetting us at present. The question is whether this advance is possible without some irrational exuberance today. We need the cult of AI to inspire us to think it’s even possible in the first place.