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Comment by kloch

A simple non-mathematical resolution is that no information has been gained by selecting the first envelope. Since no information about the contents was available before selecting the first envelope switching envelopes is a neutral act.

While this sounds like just a lazy intuitive explanation, it calls out the key component - a lack of information about the outcome - that can help avoid the paradox in more complex situations.

This is in contrast to the three-door problem where information is gained by opening the first door. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monty_Hall_problem

parent kloch 4 years ago

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