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Comment by Nihmie

Is there actually some way to guess with better than 50% chance?

I'm pretty sure this could be reduced to the secretary problem where there's a pool of 2 candidates, which yields an optimal hire with probability 50%.

Maybe you play word games and say, "I guess the other number is not higher," or "I guess the other number is not lower." Since the number you observed was produced once, there is some non-zero probability that it was produced twice, in which case the other number is neither nigher nor lower.

parent Nihmie 4 years ago

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