I don't believe it for a second. Energy prices in Europe have become extremely high and will continue to climb as Russian gas exports are sanctioned more and more. A full embargo would make it financially impossible for many European homes to get heat. Chemical processes and installations that take advantage of the generation of both CO2 and heat, like greenhouses, will be forced to either close down or increase prices, with a direct impact on the availability of affordable foods, chemicals and products.
With a full gas embargo, we're one polar vortex anomaly away from protests that will only favour politicians with Russian friends who are already calling for lower sanctions. In the short term this will have an effect, but unless American gas producers artificially lower their gas prices, the long term will only see more Russia-aligned politicians gaining prominence.
Europe's reliance on America and Russia has been a problem for a while and we're seeing the impact of it as we speak.
However, I do believe that "the economy" will be fine, but "the economy" mostly benefits the richest layers of society. That wealth doesn't trickle down.
With a full gas embargo, we're one polar vortex anomaly away from protests that will only favour politicians with Russian friends who are already calling for lower sanctions. In the short term this will have an effect, but unless American gas producers artificially lower their gas prices, the long term will only see more Russia-aligned politicians gaining prominence.
Europe's reliance on America and Russia has been a problem for a while and we're seeing the impact of it as we speak.
However, I do believe that "the economy" will be fine, but "the economy" mostly benefits the richest layers of society. That wealth doesn't trickle down.