Comment by wanderingmind

This was the number thay should have been used all along in the western world. The excessive deaths were very high in Q2/Q3 2020 that warranted stringent lockdown. However starting Q4, the excess deaths have started to reduce and has significantly minimzed across the world in second half of 2021. Its most likely because of vaccines but the acquired immunity due to infections are also likely a cause. There is no need for any restrictions from a public health standpoint as excess deaths are now significantly lower likely with the expected error.

EDIT: the post was primarily about western countries with reliable data and vaccination records