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Comment by qqqwerty

This is an interesting lesson in algo trading run wild. Roughly, house prices have a fundamental ceiling, and it is determined by the size of the monthly payment that banks will allow the typical homebuyer to assume when approving a loan.

If Zillow was the only iBuyer in a particular market, then that ceiling would likely have held, as all other non-zillow sales would still be operating under the loan approval constraint, and that would get reflected in the comps. But in a market with multiple ibuyers, none of which are capital constrained, it would make sense that they run up the prices against each other, past what the local homebuyers can afford.

Not sure how much that actually played a role here. But could be fun to do some back of the napkin math to see if that was the case in some of these markets.

parent qqqwerty 5 years ago

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